New research presented at the European Congress on Obesity in Austria this week suggests that almost a quarter (22%) of the world’s population will be obese by 2045, up from 14 per cent in 2017.
The international study used population data for all countries in the world, obtained from the World Health Organization (WHO) Non-communicable Disease Risk Factor Collaboration database. Analysis of the data suggested that one in eight (12%) people will have type 2 diabetes by 2045, up from 9 per cent in 2017. The study also indicates that in order to prevent the prevalence of type 2 diabetes from going above 10 per cent in 2045, global obesity levels must be reduced by 25 per cent.
The data showed that individual countries display individual trends. For example, if current trends in the USA continue, obesity will increase from 39 per cent in 2017 to 55 per cent in 2045, and diabetes rates will increase from 14 per cent to 18 per cent. In the UK, current trends predict that obesity will rise from 32 per cent today to 48 per cent in 2045, with diabetes rates rising from 10.2 per cent to 12.6 per cent.