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Clinical Summary

Suspected sepsis: physician judgment rivals qSOFA score in predicting mortality

Takeaway

  • Among emergency department (ED) patients with suspected sepsis, the quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) did not outperform or improve on physician judgment in predicting short-term mortality.

Why this matters

  • It may not be advisable to risk-stratify these patients using qSOFA scores alone.
  • The sensitivity of qSOFA has been modest in some validation studies.

Key results

  • Mortality: 8.2% (n=16).
  • Mortality prediction (area under the curve) by:
    • Physician judgment: 0.80 (95% CI, 0.70-0.89); 
    • qSOFA: 0.63 (95% CI, 0.53-0.73); and
    • Both in combination: 0.79 (95% CI, 0.69-0.89).

Study design

  • Secondary analysis of a 2-ED prospective observational study of patients with severe sepsis, hypotension, or elevated lactate, all of infectious etiology per retrospective determination (n=195).
  • Authors compared the accuracy of physician judgment vs qSOFA score (retrospectively calculated) in predicting 28-day in-hospital mortality.
  • Funding: Medic One Foundation.

Limitations

  • A small study at academic centers.
  • Physicians may have used qSOFA in decision-making.
  • Inclusion criteria specified a sicker population than the one originally used to derive qSOFA.

References


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